·
New Harvard survey is troubling……Article in link below discusses results of a recent
survey of corporate executives who are Harvard Business School alumni, pertaining
to future hiring trends and trends in
worker pay and benefits. The picture is not a happy one as over 40% of the
executives surveyed expect lower pay and benefits for workers and roughly half
favor outsourcing over hiring. The survey found that many companies are
reluctant to add jobs if other alternative exist.
What’s
the point? The results of the survey
are troubling for both younger workers and for the economy overall. The
implications of this, if in fact they can be extrapolated to the greater
economy, are negative for personal income, savings, and consumer discretionary
spending, all of which implies continued below average economic growth, low
inflation, continued low interest rates, and continuation of the substitution
of capital for labor, which has contributed the slowness of the current
economic recovery. This would also imply a continuation of the current
environment for financial assets: bonds treading water with stocks continuing
to slowly grind higher, remaining attractive because of their ability to
“capture” growth (through higher sales) and translating that into growing cash
flows and dividends. Mediocre economic growth does not portend a robust stock
environment but one in which valuations will most likely continue to edge
upward along with moderate (8-10%) earnings growth.
·
Cutting health costs…..The article in link below is a good summary of several
strategies people in or nearing retirement can take to reduce health care
costs.
What’s
the point? As financial planners, the
topic of health care costs comes up frequently in dealing with clients who are
currently in or nearing retirement. For many of them, health and long-term care
costs can be their highest single expense and, in certain cases, can make or
break a retirement. Some or the recommendations we believe are worth
considering are 1) starting and contributing to an HSA and funding it to the
maximum extent possible each year ($7550 for a family in which owner is over
55). Funds in an HSA can also be used tax-free to pay for Medicare parts B and
D during retirement. 2) If you cannot do an HSA (you need a high-deductible
health plan policy), another (less attractive) option is flexible spending
account (FSA) set up through your employer. Up to $2500 per year can be
contributed on a pretax (i.e. tax-free) basis and can be used to pay
out-of-pocket medical expenses throughout the year, in addition to other
options that might be available through the FSA, such as reimbursment for mass
transit commuting expenses.
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